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googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1420576007798-2'); }); MU poll also shows Michels/Kleefisch in virtual tie in GOP primary for governor. In that five-month stretch, he averaged a net rating of minus 8. Besides touting Republican wins on regulatory relief, strengthening the military and tax cuts, Johnson. RCP House Ratings, Map. Johnson's campaign has lashed out at Barnes as a "career political activist" who is too far left for the purple state of Wisconsin, which Trump carried in 2016 and only narrowly lost in 2020. Ron Johnson (Wisconsin) - Ballotpedia to hit the Biden administrations failed response to the COVID-19 pandemic, crime rates and the rising cost of living all issues that give Democrats heartburn. Why has the electorate increasingly polarized over Johnson? Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes is seen as the front-runner, but he faces a number of top-tier Democratic rivals, including State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski, Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson and Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry. Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson: My low approval ratings aren't my fault According to a Morning Consult Political Intelligence survey of all 50 states, just 37% of registered . As they have for years, three northeastern, blue-state Republicans lead the way: Govs. Johnsons rhetoric on these issues has attracted a great deal of attention and controversy. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wisc.) Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. Sometimes there are these atmospheric waves where it doesnt matter what the campaign does, he said. New Marquette Law School Wisconsin survey finds Barnes with 7-point lead over Johnson in U.S. Senate race, Evers ahead of Michels by 2 points in the race for governor, and Biden approval rating unchanged . Her net approval rating in the Morning Consult poll has been on the decline over the past two years, but she still has a solid +13 net approval rating. Glenn Youngkin, a Republican who highlighted economic and educational issues to defeat his Democratic rival last year. Kelly won by little under 2.5% in 2020, or about 2 points bigger than Joe Biden's 2020 victory in Arizona. Republican Sen. Susan Collins is another senator who hopes to overcome the partisan lean of her state (Maine is 5 points more Democratic-leaning than the nation) to win reelection. Eli Lilly CEO announces it will cap out-of-pocket costs for its insulin at $35, GOP bill would fund security grants for 'pregnancy centers' only if they oppose abortion, House Republicans vote for repeal of climate-related investment regulations, Rep. James Comer criticizes U.S. attorney for not investigating Biden's dead son, House GOP members interrogate Biden administration efforts to address environmental racism, Fact check: No, the Biden administration is not trying to ban gas stoves. A week ago, Republicans led Democrats by 2.6 points (45.4 percent to 42.8 percent). Johnson, a Republican and staunch ally of Donald Trump, enjoys the approval of 45% of Trump votersthough a considerable 31% of Trump voters . All vote results include undecided voters who lean to a candidate. Republican voters looking for a fight are turning to Ron Johnson again If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, the PARS would be -5 . "I think when using federal tax dollars, you want to spend those in the most efficient way, and if it's more efficient, more effective to spend those in other states, I don't have a real problem with that. These are some takeaways from a detailed analysis of nearly a decade of polling on Johnson by the Marquette Law School. But while Johnson is unpopular, few are ready to declare his chances dead on arrival as he revs up his third Senate campaign in a state Trump lost by just a sliver in 2020. The 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Kansas, with primary elections taking place on August 2, 2022. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson will defend his seat against Democratic Lt. Gov. By contrast, Baldwin's fellow Senator Ron Johnson elicits a much less favourable net approval rating of -22%, since 49% disapprove and 27% approve of Senator Johnson's overall job performance. 2023 CNBC LLC. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, the PARS would be -5 (2-7= -5). What is Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate Daniel Kelly's record on abortion? Gerald Ford 1974-77. Pay no attention to countless testimonies? Fewer people dont know him or are undecided in their views of him. If youre running in a purple state and its a Republican year, none of that matters., Eli Yokley is a senior data reporter at Morning Consult covering politics and campaigns. He backed a decision by Oshkosh Defense a large Wisconsin-based manufacturing company and one of his largest campaign funders to locate over 1,000 jobs in Spartanburg, South Carolina, instead of his state. 1978 Topps Baseball (501-726) Pick from List EX-NM | eBay Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. With the help of Morning Consult, which polls the approval ratings of U.S. senators every quarter, weve created a statistic that Im playfully calling Popularity Above Replacement Senator (PARS). But as Franklin points out, its really since 2019 that public opinion has grown markedly more negative and polarized over Johnson, and Johnson had already strongly aligned himself with Trump by then. Compared with Johnsons previous low point in late 2015 and early 2016, the senator has increased his popularity with groups that lean Republican, lean to the right and were already supportive. A poll taken in June 2022 found that 37% of respondents thought favorably of the senator, while 46% did not, giving him a net approval rating of -9. Finally, the fault lines in the electorate are deeper today than they were back then. Tommy Rife, of Cedar Bluff, Va., is charged with one count of misdemeanor assault and battery, according to Richlands Police Chief Ron Holt. Governor Mandela Barnes, and even tighter in the Republican primary for governor, with businessman Tim Michelsin a near-tie with former Lt. Capitol Notes: Poll shows Governor Evers' approval ratings slide - WUWM Help assure the future of citys fastest growing publication. But a comparison between then and now also points to the challenges Johnson faces. Multiple polls also show Johnson's approval ratings underwater. * Partisan lean is the average difference between how a state votes and how the country votes overall, with 2016 presidential election results weighted at 50 percent, 2012 presidential election results weighted at 25 percent and results from elections for the state legislature weighted at 25 percent. Comparing Johnsons average net rating in 2019 with his average in the four most recent Marquette polls, Johnson has gone from: That suburban erosion can also be found in the WOW counties, the three suburban counties outside Milwaukee that for decades were a bedrock source of lopsided Republican support: Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington. People are more polarized over Johnson by party, by ideology, by gender and other measures. Poll: Mandela Barnes leads Ron Johnson in US Senate race Top 10 Senate Races in 2022 Race to the WH Republicans in Wisconsin said Johnson would do well to craft a message meant to appeal to voters in the middle, nodding to the approach of Virginia Gov. But he also stood to benefit from a difficult political climate for Democrats, reflected in President Joe Biden's poor approval ratings. Mandela Barnes in the general election in Wisconsin, NBC News projected. But that isnt likely to be enough in a state that produces such narrow margins of victory. Ron Johnson Is Unpopular in Wisconsin. Can He Win Anyway? - Morning Consult Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) insisted Sunday that his low approval ratings are not at all his fault and that he is "not a polarizing figure." Johnson made the comments during an interview with journalist Adrienne Pedersen on Milwaukee television . Stacker has compiled data ranking all of them based on their popularity and approval rating. Democrats' Chances of Beating Ron Johnson in Wisconsin - Newsweek Historically, the presidential election results in a given state have tracked closely with the Senate outcome there, and the two are only coming into closer alignment (in 2016, for example, the presidential and Senate outcome was the same in every state). 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Then we compared Johnsons current standing among these groups with two earlier periods in his 12-year Senate career: 2019, when he enjoyed his best-sustained ratings in Marquettes polling; and late 2015 to early 2016, which was Johnsons low point in popularity before now. By Eli Yokley. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin will defend his seat against Democratic Lt. Gov. Adding to the bad news for Johnson is that his approval rating continues to be at an all-time low with just 37% of registered voters saying they approve of him and 46% saying they disapprove. 36% of Wisconsin voters approved of Johnson's job performance and 51% disapproved in the fourth quarter of 2021. Cyber Security: Private-sector Efforts Addressing Cyber Threats Lyndon B. Johnson 1963-69. As Sen. Ron Johnson weighs whether to run again, his embrace of Trump's anti-democratic campaign to overturn the election results already has angered some mainstream Republican allies, and is poised As Sen. Ron Johnson weighs future, Trump ties take a toll We're pretty sure you're a member and you're definitely not signed in. ", "It's not like we don't have enough jobs here in Wisconsin," he told reporters in February. I've done a really good job as Wisconsin's United States senator," he told Milwaukee television station WISN. Steve Sisolak of Nevada also has a distinct personal brand that could help him weather a tough reelection campaign in purple Nevada. RealClearPolitics - 2022 Wisconsin Senate McConnell manages just a -13 net approval rating despite inhabiting an R+23 state. According to the latest figures, taken from surveys conducted among 10,496 registered Wisconsin voters between Oct. 1 and Dec. 31, 36 percent of Badger State voters approved of his job performance, 51 percent disapproved and 13 percent had no opinion. With Florida currently struggling with one of the highest rates of COVID-19 in the country, slightly more than half of voters (51 percent) disapprove of Governor Ron DeSantis' handling of the response to the coronavirus, while 46 percent approve, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll of registered voters in Florida released today. This also offers a glimmer of hope to Democrats who face the very real prospect of losing control of the Senate in 2022, as this falls midterm elections are shaping up well for Republicans. If you are an existing member, sign-in to leave a comment. Learn more. Over the past year, Johnson has suffered through his longest and deepest period of unpopularity since Marquette began polling about him in early 2013 a stretch of 61 statewide polls. So is the gap between how conservatives and liberals view him. The polling suggests that in the past two years, Johnson has positioned himself better for the first task than the second. 1990 FLEER BASEBALL 501-660 YOU PICK SEE SCANS .99 UNLIMITED SHIPPING HIGH GRADE. Ron Johnson pursues a scorched-earth path to reelection Around a quarter of Wisconsin Republicans (24 percent) disapprove of his job performance. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. Today, the Democrat wins, he said. How Daniel Kelly worked with the GOP to fuel election denialism. Several conservatives involved in the state argued that Johnson casting himself as foe of Biden and the national Democratic brand could help shore up his intraparty standing. The poll, whose . According to FiveThirtyEights presidential approval tracker,5 41.4 percent of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president, while 52.6 percent disapprove (a net approval rating of -11.2 points). Most Americans are sickened by Joe Biden as much as they are sickened by Donald Trump. A trio of red-state Democrats Kentuckys Andy Beshear, Kansass Laura Kelly and Louisianas John Bel Edwards all have PARGs between +31 and +51 as well. Raphael Warnock, Mark Kelly, Maggie Hassan and Catherine Cortez Masto all have PARS scores of at least +7, suggesting that they are capable of outperforming the base partisanship of their state. Since 2019, his net favorability rating in the WOW counties has dropped from an average of plus 41 to plus-8 in the last four Marquette polls combined. According to a Morning Consult Political Intelligence survey of all 50 states, just 37% of registered Wisconsin voters approve of Johnson, while 51% disapprove. Barnes tops Johnson by 7 points in Wisconsin Senate race: poll (The Hill), Ron Johnson tries for a rebrand after years of controversy and Democratic attacks (NBC News), 'Out of touch': Wisconsin's Barnes and Johnson prepare for general election campaign defined by attacks (CNN). Democrats are banking on Johnsons unpopularity to give them an edge in one of the only contests this year where they stand a chance of knocking off a Republican incumbent as they defend a narrow Senate majority. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, his PARS would be -5 (2-7 = -5). Combining the four surveys that Marquette has done over the past nine months, 35% of registered voters view Johnson favorably and 44% view him unfavorably a net rating of minus 9. Membership, which includes a host of perks, including an ad-free website, tickets to marquee events like Summerfest, the Wisconsin State Fair and the Florentine Opera, a better photo browser and access to members-only, behind-the-scenes tours, starts at $9/month. Wisconsins senior senator should get a boost from traditional midterm dynamics, where the party out of power is helped by animosity toward the party in the White House. Democrats have zeroed in on Johnson's seat as they fight to hang onto their razor-thin Senate majority. Ron Johnson and His Wife Jane Johnson. But his rating among anti-Trump voters has steadily worsened, going from minus-24 in 2016 to minus-45 in 2020 to minus-58 this year. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Then again, a senators PARS score isnt everything. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images), Barnes tops Johnson by 7 points in Wisconsin Senate race: poll, Ron Johnson tries for a rebrand after years of controversy and Democratic attacks, 'Out of touch': Wisconsin's Barnes and Johnson prepare for general election campaign defined by attacks. In that sense, Johnsons political future may depend on maximizing turnout from the partys pro-Trump base while still winning over some anti-Trump Republicans and independents. Top 10 U.S. Senate races that are most likely to flip : NPR I'm not a polarizing figure at all. Johnson has also felt losses among voters from his own party. Biden Job Approval in All 50 States. Barnes, 35 also has the support of independents, with 52% of respondents backing him over Johnson, a sizable leap from 41% in June. The Least Popular Members Of Congress From Every State The United States of America has 100 senators, and all are constantly under public scrutiny. In fact, the only current senator with a lower approval rating is Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has infamously blocked hundreds of popular pieces of legislation. Those is Tim. McConnell beat Grimes 56 percent to 41 percent. This unpopularity could drag him down in November, allowing Democrats to flip a Senate seat that, on paper, should remain Republican in this environment. He has refused to take responsibility for his unpopularity, claiming in January that it is all the news media's fault. As Sen. Ron Johnson weighs future, Trump ties take a toll - Madison Hi. All in all, 39 percent of independent voters now strongly disapprove of Johnson, nearly five times as many as those who strongly approve. Charlie Baker of Massachusetts, Phil Scott of Vermont and Larry Hogan of Maryland. Kelly, on the other hand, does have a brand distinct from the national Democratic Party, but its an open question whether she can get enough Kansas Republicans who approve of her to take the extra step and vote for her as well. Its not crazy to think he could be vulnerable in 2020. Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. They all sit in closely divided states (from R+2 for New Hampshire to D+2 for Minnesota), yes, but they are all also quite popular. Thats not surprising, since were comparing his nine-year polling high point with his nine-year polling low point. George H.W. Wisconsin Democrats are aiming to flip Ron Johnson's seat blue in November's midterm race, . Each currently enjoys an extraordinary PARG of +75 or higher. He does so despite woeful approval ratings among Wisconsin . Sen. Ron Johnson is commonly referred to as one of the country's most unpopular U.S. senators. As a result, more governors than senators have PARGs at the extreme ends of the spectrum, as you can see in the table below. He has lost significant ground in the past few years with key voting groups such as women, moderates, independents and suburbanites, including voters in the once lopsided GOP stronghold of the WOW counties outside Milwaukee. . While other states may have difficulty motivating Democrats to turn out, the vitriol that Johnson inspires in Democrats in Wisconsin will help to drive turnout, said Wisconsin Democratic strategist Tanya Bjork. These polling trends dont mean Johnson cant win this fall. WISN host Adrienne Pederson grilled Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) about his toxic brand and his low approval ratings.In an interview on Sunday, Pederson asked Johnson how he planned to win re-election . But what they missed was that she could create a sincere connection with those working-class voters in rural areas and in Democratic-rich Dane [County] and Milwaukee.. Democrats are reportedly trying to recruit former Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath, who raised $8.6 million for an unsuccessful 2018 congressional bid, to run against him. Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson's voting record, net worth, approval rating Democratic Governor Laura Kelly ran for re-election to a second term. . Published with permission of The American Independent Foundation. Quarterly polls conducted from 2017-2021 among representative samples of at least 2,517 registered Wisconsin voters, with unweighted margins of error of up to +/-3 percentage points for responses shown. Accordingly, the floor is 40%. 2023, Urban Milwaukee, Inc. All rights reserved. He ran behind the other three, with 44% versus 46% for Barnes, 43% versus 45% for Godlewski and 43% versus 44% for Nelson. Besides touting Republican wins on regulatory relief, strengthening the military and tax cuts, Johnson used his rollout to hit the Biden administrations failed response to the COVID-19 pandemic, crime rates and the rising cost of living all issues that give Democrats heartburn. 2022 Senate Elections (51) In fact, the only current senator with a lower approval rating is Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has infamously blocked hundreds of popular pieces of legislation.. How Popular Is Joe Biden? | FiveThirtyEight Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes - RealClearPolitics The View From Wisconsin: Approval of Political Leaders and Hypothetical Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. . In that sense, I think we can be quite confident the decline is real, Franklin said.